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Story of Early warning for global and local earthquake hazards model (EWGLEH)

 

1

 In 1988 research scholar had seen sunspots in the Sun that time he thought what will

affect to Earth. sudden one idea came into his mind that earthquake can occur. But its unsolved

complex question to predict about earthquake. Than how can it come in his mind ? Before  it

come in his study? After that he studied books about earthquake  and activity of Sun but

nowhere he read that earthquake is triggered by solar activity. After he stared to study about

it himself. Then he noted about randomly events in earthquake of Sep.1993 in Latur - India. 

In 21st Jan 2001 He predicted that EQ will  occur  after some days. But he had no idea of the place which was to be targeted. It

occurred on his native place Kachchh - Gujarat In 26th Jan 2001 with 7.9 M . After that serious

research was going on and he searched the perfect day of EQ. There are moderate EQ activity

 on Earth at 5th days and major activity occur on 6th days after solar activity. During

these days we can see high scale EQ, tsunami or volcanic activity world wide. On 26th Jan 2001

EQ occur in Kachchh - India at that time EQ noted at 65 places. Same time in New Zealand

volcano Rotorua was activated. Early warning for global and local earthquake hazards model.

 (EWGLEH) is developed step by step.

To predict about EQ there are four important points.

1. Whether EQ occur or not

2. when it till happen ?

3. Magnitude of EQ

4. Location of EQ

Perfect day of EQ founded on March 2001 analysis of past history. And  in Indonesia 27th 2001 EQ

occur with 6.2 M. After that with which scale EQ will occur for that one model was created. There are

32 models for EQ precursor. But the 33rd researched scholar's model is more reliable. Because

through this model we can know the perfect day and the magnitude of EQ. Still now its monitoring

successfully more then 45oo EQs. Because of that it has got the name of  Early warning for

global and local earthquake hazards model (EWGLEH). and this website

for bona-fied researchers. During 1st to 31st May 2001 it noted more then EQs and 3 volcanoes

are activated. And after monitoring it happened on that perfect days. He tried to know that, why

after monitoring EQ occur on 5th and 6th days ? Because of  SSP -sunspots, CME-coronal mass

ejection and prominence irruption. If solar activity triggers EQs and volcano on Earth then any

stellar  activity triggers CME, SSP and prominence on our Sol ? Through this hypothesis He

prepared one formula of calculation. Approximately every 11.5 years that SSP cycle increase and

decreased We can see it through this calculation.

5th day      365.2568983 (days of 1 yr)  } 1 AU = 73.05137966 AUs per year 73.05137966 AUs

(11.5 per year) = 840.09086609 AUs (1 AU = Distance between Earth and Sun 150 million miles =

149.597,870,691 KMs)  If 1 AU far from Sol's CME effect on 5 days then each year 73 AU far

away. within 1 year it effect 73.05137966 AUs then during 11.5 years it will effect 840.09086609

AUs means from  840 AUs far one star is responsible for that spot cycle because of that promin-

ence occur on the Sun approximately if one star is 840 AUs far from Sun that it's a binary star

of Sun. A binary star is a star system consisting of two stars orbiting around their common center

of mass. There are 80 percent stars are dual or triplets in the Universe. But we could  not final the

binary companion for the Sun. Now one question arised that is there any binary star of Sun or not?

This calculation theoretically prove about binary of Sun. The webpage of binary research institute,

found on Sep 2006 during randomly net surfing time. In that BRI said that "We believe our binary

counter part may lay between 848.5 AU and 1515 AU depending its mass."

In the orbit of Moon disturbed by one star far that BRI said that from 848.5 AU for one star is

disturbing Moon's rotation of it gravitational power. Binary research institute claim support to the

research scholar's binary stars theoretical belief. Some hypothesizes are here!

1.  EQs and volcanoes occur because solar magnetic stream effects the Earth on 5th and 6th days.

2. Because the effect of Sol's binary star's stellar magnetic stream SSP cycle happen.

    And on the Solar activities like CME, and prominence irruption occur.

3. Binary stars with invisible magnetic bombarding create SSP, CME, prominence means, dual

     stars connected with stellar magnetic stream model.

4. Another binary stars calculation of spot cycle years we can measure the distance between

    the dual stars.

Like Ux Ari binary stars spot cycle  is 5.6 years then 73.05137966 AUs per year magnetic effect

(5.5 yrs) = 401.783 AUs. Distance between Ux Ari and its binary companion star is approx

401.783 AUs

An evidence of Sun binary companion.

The SSP prediction third method due to Richard Thompson (Solar physics 148, 383(1993)).

The Sun found a relationship between the numbers of days during a spot cycle in which the

geomagnetic field was "disturbed" and the amplitude of the next Sun spot maximum. His

method has the advantage of giving a prediction for size of the next Sun spot maximum well

before Sun spot minimum. well before sunspot maximum. (Ref ).

  • Sunspots are associated with the solar magnetic field.
  • Flares associated with CME.
  • Evolution of a CME at the point where magnetic polarities change.

According to hypothesis this topics  lead us to the connection between Sol and its binary.

The reliable precursor model :

This model gives us world wide and local benefits for earthquake early warning. It is

noted to be occurred EQ on 9th Sep '04 with 6.5 M that EQ occurred on that day in

Nicaragua with 6.9 M like that 19thNov '04 EQ would occur on > 5 M it occurred in

Venezuela with 5.1 M.It also noted that on 4th-5th Feb '05 EQ would occur with

<5 M and it happened world wide 12 places like that we can predict the perfect day

of EQ with low tolerance so that we can watch over during the 5th - 6th days of 

WW sensitive zones and yet benefit of this model. Now the research is going on that

which place we are monitoring from that of radius of 50-60 KMs EQ will occur or

not. According to it there was one monitoring  on 27th Apr '08. That moderate EQ

occurred in Bhavnagar - Gujarat- India. It was news in "Sandesh" news paper of

4th May '08. On 3rd May '08 morning 3 o'clock with 4M, 3:30 PM with 3.2 M

and 3:40 2.1 M EQ occurred.

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