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Story of Early
warning
for global
and
local
earthquake hazards model (EWGLEH)
1
In 1988
research scholar had seen sunspots in the Sun that time he
thought what will
affect to Earth. sudden one
idea came into his mind that earthquake can occur. But its
unsolved
complex question to predict
about earthquake. Than how can it come in his mind ? Before
it
come in his study? After that he
studied books about earthquake and activity of Sun but
nowhere he read that earthquake is triggered
by solar activity. After he stared to study about
it himself.
Then he noted about randomly events in
earthquake of Sep.1993 in Latur - India.
In 21st Jan 2001
He predicted that EQ will occur
after some days. But he had no idea of the place which was to be
targeted. It
occurred on his native place
Kachchh - Gujarat In 26th Jan 2001 with
7.9 M . After that serious
research was going on and he
searched the perfect day of EQ. There
are moderate EQ activity
on Earth at 5th days and major activity occur on 6th days
after solar activity. During
these days we can see high scale EQ,
tsunami or volcanic activity world wide.
On 26th Jan 2001
EQ occur in Kachchh - India at that time EQ
noted at 65 places. Same time in
New Zealand
volcano Rotorua was activated.
Early
warning
for global
and
local
earthquake hazards model.
(EWGLEH) is developed step by step.
To predict about
EQ there are four important points.
1. Whether EQ occur or not
2. when it till happen ?
3. Magnitude of EQ
4. Location of EQ
Perfect day of EQ founded on March 2001 analysis of past
history. And in Indonesia 27th 2001 EQ
occur with 6.2 M. After that with which scale EQ will occur for
that one model was created. There are
32 models for EQ precursor. But the 33rd researched scholar's
model is more reliable. Because
through this model we can know the perfect day and the magnitude
of EQ. Still now its monitoring
successfully more then 45oo EQs. Because of that it has got the
name of
Early
warning
for
global
and
local
earthquake hazards model (EWGLEH).
and this website
for bona-fied researchers. During 1st to 31st May 2001 it noted more then
EQs and 3 volcanoes
are activated.
And after monitoring it happened on that perfect days. He tried
to know that, why
after monitoring
EQ occur on 5th and 6th days ? Because of SSP -sunspots,
CME-coronal mass
ejection and prominence
irruption. If solar activity triggers EQs and volcano on Earth
then any
stellar activity triggers CME,
SSP and prominence on our Sol ? Through this hypothesis He
prepared one formula of calculation.
Approximately every 11.5 years that SSP cycle increase and
decreased We can see it through this
calculation.
5th day 365.2568983
(days of 1 yr) } 1 AU = 73.05137966 AUs per
year 73.05137966
AUs
(11.5 per year) = 840.09086609 AUs (1 AU = Distance between
Earth and Sun 150 million miles =
149.597,870,691 KMs) If 1 AU far from Sol's CME effect on
5 days then each year 73 AU far
away.
within 1 year it effect 73.05137966 AUs then during 11.5 years
it will effect 840.09086609
AUs means
from 840 AUs far one star is responsible for that spot
cycle because of that promin-
ence occur on the
Sun approximately if one star is 840 AUs far from Sun that it's
a binary star
of Sun. A binary star is a
star system consisting of two stars orbiting around their common
center
of mass. There are 80 percent
stars are dual or triplets in the Universe. But we could
not final the
binary companion for the Sun. Now one question arised that is
there any binary star of Sun or not?
This calculation theoretically prove about
binary of Sun. The webpage of binary research institute,
found
on Sep 2006 during randomly net
surfing time. In that BRI said that "We believe our binary
counter part may lay between 848.5 AU and
1515 AU depending its mass."
In the orbit of Moon disturbed by one star far that BRI said
that from 848.5 AU for one star is
disturbing Moon's rotation of it gravitational power.
Binary research institute claim support to the
research scholar's
binary stars theoretical belief. Some
hypothesizes are here!
1. EQs and volcanoes occur because solar magnetic stream
effects the Earth on 5th and 6th days.
2. Because the effect of Sol's binary star's stellar magnetic
stream SSP cycle happen.
And on the Solar activities like CME, and prominence irruption occur.
3. Binary stars with invisible magnetic bombarding create SSP,
CME, prominence means, dual
stars connected with stellar magnetic stream model.
4. Another binary stars calculation of spot cycle years we can
measure the distance between
the dual stars.
Like Ux Ari binary stars spot cycle is 5.6 years then
73.05137966 AUs per
year magnetic effect
(5.5 yrs) = 401.783 AUs. Distance between Ux Ari and its binary
companion star is approx
401.783 AUs
An evidence of Sun binary companion.
The SSP prediction third method due to Richard Thompson (Solar
physics 148, 383(1993)).
The Sun
found a relationship between the numbers of days during a spot
cycle in which the
geomagnetic field
was "disturbed" and the amplitude of the next Sun spot maximum.
His
method has the advantage of
giving a prediction for size of the next Sun spot maximum well
before Sun spot minimum. well before
sunspot maximum. (Ref ).
-
Sunspots are associated
with the solar magnetic field.
-
Flares associated with
CME.
-
Evolution of a CME at the
point where magnetic polarities change.
According to hypothesis this
topics lead us to the connection between Sol and its
binary.
The reliable precursor model :
This model gives us world wide
and local benefits for earthquake early warning. It is
noted to be occurred EQ on 9th Sep '04
with 6.5 M that EQ occurred on that day in
Nicaragua with 6.9 M like that 19thNov '04 EQ
would occur on > 5 M it occurred in
Venezuela with 5.1 M.It also noted that on 4th-5th
Feb '05 EQ would occur with
<5 M and it happened world wide 12 places like that we
can predict the perfect day
of EQ with low tolerance so that
we can watch over during the 5th
- 6th days of
WW sensitive zones and yet benefit of
this model. Now the research is
going on that
which place we are monitoring
from that of radius of 50-60 KMs EQ
will occur or
not. According to it there was one monitoring on 27th Apr '08. That moderate EQ
occurred in Bhavnagar - Gujarat- India. It was news in "Sandesh" news paper of
4th
May '08. On 3rd May '08 morning 3 o'clock with 4M, 3:30 PM with 3.2 M
and 3:40
2.1 M EQ occurred.
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